“This week will witness a classic standoff with cattle feeders attempting to regain some leverage from the packer, buoyed by futures and declining numbers in March and April,” projected Cassie Fish of The Beef Report.
Unlike the prior week, last week saw cash fed cattle trade get underway and done decently early. By Thursday afternoon, almost 75,000 head had been confirmed sold, with most of the trade occurring on Thursday. Prices paid for live cattle were down $2-8 at $128- 134.
“Many roads are still closed in Nebraska, Iowa, South Dakota, and Minnesota, which has several beef and pork plants in the area either starting to kill late or cancelling first shift slaughters all together,” reported Troy Vetterkind of Vetterkind Cattle Brokerage last Thursday morning.
When it came to the 2016 Cattle Industry Conference in San Diego, CA, cattle producers and cattle and beef industry members had a lot to look forward to; seeing friends and colleagues, new information and new products, and certainly the pleasant beach weather.
The farm and ranch real estate market in the Far West—California, Oregon, Washington and Nevada—is one of dualities. Challenges are also opportunities, and much of it centers unsurprisingly on water. In general, the market in 2015 was called good by realtors and land brokers, and the outlook looks good for 2016 for the careful buyer and seller.
“The release of a forecast for a storm system early next week that could impact some of the South Plains—and with significant amounts of snow for parts of Nebraska and Iowa—sparked the rally in futures yesterday,” reported Andrew Gottschalk of Hedgers Edge last Wednesday.
Ethan Lane, Executive Director of the Public Lands Council, gave cattle producers just that last week during the Cattlemen’s College, held at the National Cattlemen’s Beef Association’s annual conference and cattle industry trade show in San Diego, CA.
People were less excited to buy cattle last week compared to the prior week. Whereas the prior week saw 90,000 head trade by Thursday, last week couldn’t even muster 4,000 head traded by Thursday. Cattle buyers were likely waiting for the release of the Cattle on Feed report to give the manic market some direction.
Last Tuesday, Obama used his veto power on S.J. Resolution 22, the bill which would have blocked the implementation of the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA’s ) new Waters of the U.S. (WOTUS) rule. Obama called WOTUS “critical” to the protection of.
Considering the magnitude and speed of the crash seen in cattle markets around the country at the end of 2015, much time and effort has been put into explaining why and how it happened. According to one market analyst, domestic supply shifts, outside economies, and trade all played important roles.
Last week was called pivotal for the cash cattle markets with numerous factors coming to bear on prices. The markets’ moving parts have all done a lot of significant moving in the last few weeks, so the direction of what is to come was a matter of much speculation.
Live cattle futures were trading fairly sideways last week after the prior week’s rally. But then Thursday trade, which opened in the U.S. following another day of the Chinese stock exchange trading locked down after mere minutes of opening, saw limit-down trade in almost all contracts on the board.
Of all the portions of the country, the Southwest tends to have the lowest pasture and overall farm real estate value (a measurement of the value of all land and buildings on farms). But with low prices comes the potential for opportunity..
Last week, the Ranchers- Cattlemen Action Legal Fund (R-CALF) sent a request to the U.S. Senate Committee on the Judiciary and its Subcommittee on Antitrust, Competition Policy, and Consumer Rights that they investigate the cattle market’s unprecedented decline at the end of 2015.
In the short, pre-New Year’s trade week, cash cattle traded early and sharply higher. By Wednesday afternoon, over 40,000 head had been confirmed sold on the negotiated market at $130-136 live (up $4-14 from the prior week) and $202-212 dressed (up $2-12).